In the West, very warm, dry weather prevails. In the Northwest, warmth is promoting some additional development of winter grains.

On the Plains, dry weather accompanies a warming trend. Today’s high temperatures will approach 80°F on the southern Plains. However, moisture is needed throughout the region to prevent further deterioration in winter wheat conditions. On November 4, at least one-fifth of the wheat was rated in very poor to poor condition in South Dakota (52%), Nebraska (49%), Oklahoma (30%), Colorado (28%), and Texas (24%).

In the Corn Belt, rain showers are crossing the upper Mississippi Valley, while some wet snow is occurring in the upper Great Lakes region. Elsewhere, dry weather favors late-season fieldwork, although chilly conditions linger across the Ohio Valley and the lower Great Lakes region.

In the South, rain accompanies a cool weather pattern. Some of the most significant precipitation is falling in northern Georgia and parts of Florida. The rain is slowing fieldwork but providing beneficial moisture for pastures and winter grains.

Outlook: Later today, a storm system will begin to intensify east of the Carolinas. The storm will drift generally northward through Thursday, hugging the Atlantic Seaboard. Coastal impacts will include high winds, heavy rain, and pounding surf, with additional damage possible in northern Mid-Atlantic communities still recovering from Hurricane Sandy. Toward week’s end, an important weather pattern change will result in warmer weather in the East and sharply colder conditions across the northern Plains and the West. Heavy precipitation, including locally significant snowfall, will accompany the transition to colder weather from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Plains. By early next week, showers and thunderstorms will accompany the leading edge of cold air across parts of the Plains and Mississippi Valley. The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for November 11-15 calls for near- to belownormal temperatures across the Plains, West, and upper Midwest, while warmer-than-normal weather will prevail in most areas east of a line from the Texas coast to Lake Huron. Meanwhile, near- to above-normal precipitation across the majority of the U.S. will contrast with drier-than-normal conditions from southern California to the central and southern High Plains.