In the West, temperatures are rebounding to near-normal levels in the Pacific Northwest, but chilly conditions persist elsewhere. Dry weather prevails, except for lingering showers across the Intermountain West. California is entering a potential third year of drought, with rangeland and pastures rated 100% very poor to poor on October 27. Nevada’s rangeland, 60% very poor to poor, is also suffering from long-term drought.
On the Plains, cold, dry weather prevails in Montana and the Dakotas. Following recent precipitation, current snow depths in Montana include 3 inches in Billings and an inch in Great Falls. Farther south, scattered showers and thunderstorms stretch from Nebraska to Texas, mainly affecting the eastern Plains. Dryness remains a concern with respect to winter wheat establishment across portions of the southern High Plains.
In the Corn Belt, warmer weather prevails in advance of an approaching cold front. Mostly dry weather continues to promote Midwestern corn and soybean harvesting, although a few showers and thunderstorms are affecting the southern Corn Belt.
In the South, rain showers are affecting the northern and western fringes of the region. Elsewhere, warm, dry weather favors fieldwork, including winter wheat planting and cotton, peanut, and soybean harvesting.
Outlook: An active cold front draped across the nation’s mid-section will sweep eastward to the Atlantic Seaboard by week’s end. The front, infused with moisture from former eastern Pacific Hurricane Raymond, will produce as much as 2 to 4 inches of rain across the southeastern Plains, Mid-South, middle and lower Mississippi Valley, and portions of the Great Lakes region. In the front’s wake, weekend snow showers will develop downwind of the Great Lakes. Dry weather will prevail elsewhere, except for weekend showers from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies. The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for November 4-8 calls for below-normal temperatures from the Pacific Coast to the northern and central High Plains, while warmer-than-normal weather will prevail along and east of a line from Texas to Minnesota. Meanwhile, near- to above-normal precipitation across the majority of the U.S. will contrast with drier-than-normal conditions along the Atlantic Seaboard and from California to the Four Corners States. Wet conditions will be most likely from the southeastern Plains to the upper Great Lakes States.