In the West, cool, dry weather prevails. In California, the rice harvest was 90% complete by November 6, while the cotton harvest (65% complete) was slightly ahead of the 5-year average pace. More than two-thirds of the winter wheat was rated in good to excellent condition in all of the Northwestern States.

On the Plains, snow is falling in parts of eastern Colorado and western Kansas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms dot the remainder of the central and southern Plains. Despite recent topsoil moisture improvements, drought remains a concern on the southern Plains. On November 6, nearly half (46%) of the winter wheat in Texas was rated in very poor to poor condition.

In the Corn Belt, rain is disrupting late-season fieldwork from the Great Lakes region into the middle Mississippi Valley. In advance of the approaching rain, fieldwork is proceeding in the eastern Corn Belt. In Ohio, only 34% of the corn had been harvested by November 6, along with 67% of the soybeans.

In the South, warm, dry weather favors fieldwork, including winter wheat planting and cotton, peanut, and soybean harvesting. Showers in advance of a cold front are edging into northwestern Arkansas.

Outlook: A complex storm system will continue to produce additional heavy precipitation (1 to 3 inches) through mid-week from the southern Plains into the Great Lakes region. Snow will accumulate from the central High Plains into the upper Great Lakes region. By Friday, however, dry weather will prevail in most areas from the Plains to the East Coast. In the storm’s wake, cold air will briefly spread into the Midwest, South, and East. By week’s end, above-normal temperatures will return to the nation’s mid-section and quickly expand into the East, while cool, stormy weather will begin to engulf the West. Heavy, late-week precipitation can be expected in parts of the West, including southern California and Arizona. The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for November 13-17 calls for above-normal temperatures in the eastern one-third of the U.S., while colder-than-normal weather will prevail across the northern Plains and the West. Meanwhile, near- to above-normal precipitation across the majority of the nation will contrast with drier-than-normal conditions across Florida’s peninsula and the central and southern High Plains.