Weather report: Dry conditions in the upper Midwest

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In the West, temperatures are rebounding to above-normal levels in northern California and the Pacific Northwest. Meanwhile, chilly conditions linger in the Southwest. Dry weather favors fieldwork, although isolated showers have developed from the Pacific Northwest to the northern Rockies.

On the Plains
, showers and a few thunderstorms linger from Kansas southward into eastern Texas. Conditions remain mostly favorable for winter wheat emergence and establishment, except for a few pockets of unfavorable dryness on the southern High Plains.

In the Corn Belt, dry weather is promoting fieldwork in the upper Midwest. Elsewhere, rain is slowing corn and late-season soybean harvest activities, but replenishing soil moisture in areas still suffering from drought. Prior to the rainfall, on October 27, topsoil moisture was rated more than half very short to short in Illinois (60%), Missouri (58%), and Iowa (53%).

In the South, heavy showers and locally severe thunderstorms stretch from the northern Mississippi Delta to the western Gulf Coast. Meanwhile, warm, dry weather continues to promote fieldwork in the southern Atlantic States, although short-term dryness has reduced soil moisture availability. On October 27, topsoil moisture was rated more than half very short to short in South Carolina (65%) and Georgia (53%).

Outlook: During the next 2 days, a cold front will sweep across the eastern U.S. Additional rainfall could reach 2 to 4 inches from the northern Mississippi Delta to the western Gulf Coast, while 1- to 2-inch amounts will occur in portions of the Great Lakes region. Rainfall amounts will diminish closer to the Atlantic Seaboard. In the front’s wake, weekend snow showers will develop downwind of the Great Lakes. Meanwhile, a new storm system will begin to take shape across the West, resulting in rain and snow showers. By early next week, another energetic, moisture-laden cold front will arrive across the nation’s mid-section. The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for November 5-9 calls for above-normal temperatures across the eastern half of the U.S., while colder-than-normal conditions will prevail from the Pacific Coast to the High Plains. Meanwhile, below-normal precipitation in the Southwest and along the northern Atlantic Coast will contrast with wetter-than-normal weather in the Pacific Northwest and a broad area stretching from the western and central Gulf Coast States to the Great Lakes region.

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