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Market Commentary

Afternoon Comments 05/24


Wheat futures were probably ripe for pre-holiday profit taking Friday after having surged Wednesday and Thursday. Traders were simply less willing to hold onto positions ahead of the three-day weekend. That seemed especially true with the equity markets under substantial pressure throughout the early going. July CBOT wheat futures declined 5.75 cents to $6.975/bushel to end the week, while July KCBT wheat plunged 7.75 cents to $7.4575, and July MGE futures fell 6.75 cent to $8.0575.
Market Info

Wheat streak mosaic and seed quality

Source: Bill Bockus, Plant Pathology, Kansas State University  |   July 20, 2011
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Where wheat streak mosaic was a severe problem on some wheat fields in 2011, will it be safe to use that wheat as seed this fall? Can wheat streak mosaic virus be carried over into the following season from the seed?

Viruses in general are mobile within the wheat plant. They have a hard time getting through the barrier formed between the developing kernel and the rachis and making it into the seed. However, Australian scientists have reported seed transmission by wheat streak mosaic virus (2005 Plant Dis. 89:1048-1050). They report seed transmission rates of 0.5-1.5% from infected genotypes. I don't recall that seed transmission has been reported in the U.S. Therefore, the potential exists to introduce the virus into new areas via seed.  

Obviously, however, without the mite vector, the virus will not spread from the 0.5-1.5% infected plants that develop from the seed. If the mite is present, it most likely will already be a vector of the wheat streak mosaic virus; therefore, the impact of seed transmission within an individual field seems very small.

With regards to using the grain from the field with wheat streak mosaic virus for seed, the major problem will probably be that it will be shriveled. All else being equal, small seed often produces less vigorous plants than large seed. A producer who uses small seed and plants according to bushels per acre will plant more seeds per acre than someone who uses large seed. If the germination rate of the small seed is still high, that tends to compensate for the less vigorous plants that come from small seed compared to large seed, according to my data. But, if the producer is planting by seed number per acre, then it is best to use large, dense seed. The key is whether the seed has high germination and good seedling vigor.


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