Soil water and winter wheat prospects
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* Target amount of available soil water in 4 feet of silt loam soil: 8 inches
* Amount of water infiltrating into the soil profile from a 2-inch rain: 1.5 inches
* Amount of soil water lost to evaporation in the 5 to 7 days after the rain: 0.15 to 0.5 inches
* Net amount of water remaining in soil after a 2-inch rain, followed by 5 to 7 days of no rain: 1.0 inch (if 0.5 inch of evaporation) to 1.35 inch (if 0.15 inch of evaporation)
* Number of 2-inch rainfall events occurring every 5 to 7 days needed to reach the target of 8 inches of available soil water: 6 (if 0.15 inch evaporation) to 8 (if 0.5 inch of evaporation)
Total amount of rainfall needed to fill the 4-foot profile of a silt loam soil: 12 to 16 inches, occurring in 2-inch events every 5 to 7 days over a 6-week period (12 inches if 0.15 inch of evaporation per rain or 16 inches if 0.5 inch of evaporation per rain). This assumes a rather optimistic infiltration efficiency of 75 percent. If the heavy rains of August 24-26 fell slowly enough that there was very little runoff, however, the efficiency could be at least that high since the deeper the moisture soaks into the soil, the less likely it is to be lost to evaporation.
Coarser-textured soils that have little to no available water will also need considerable rainfall to fill the profile. A coarser-textured sandy loam soil has a smaller available water holding capacity (about 1.5 inches per foot of depth) than the loam, silt loam, and silty clay loam soils. So it takes less water to fill the profile of a sandy loam soil with available water than it does a silt loam soil. With our example for the silt loam soils, we gained about 1 inch per rainfall event if 0.5 inches of evaporation or about 1.35 inches per rain if 0.15 inches of evaporation. Assuming similar conditions for the sandy loam soil, to fill the sandy loam soil profile to the 4-foot depth would require about 9 inches of rain if 0.15 inches of evaporation after each 2-inch rain or 12 inches of rain if 0.5 inches of evaporation after each 2-inch rain.
Relative importance of available soil water and in-season precipitation
A full soil profile at planting time is not required for a decent wheat crop. However, increased available soil water at planting does improve greatly the odds of getting a good wheat crop. In-season precipitation and available soil water at planting are both important in determining the ultimate yield of a wheat crop.
The following table is based on results from 30 years of research data collected at the K-State Southwest Research-Extension Center at Tribune. The wheat yields listed were calculated from equation 3.5, table 3, page 1361 of “Yield—Water Supply Relationships of Grain Sorghum and Winter Wheat”, L.R. Stone and A.J. Schlegel, 2006, Agron. J. 98:1359-1366. Wheat yields were calculated in response to both available soil water at emergence and total in-season precipitation.
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Effect of Available Soil Water at Emergence and In-season Precipitation on Dryland Wheat Yields: Tribune 1974-2004 |
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In-season precipitation (inches) |
Available soil water at emergence (inches) |
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2 |
4 |
6 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
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Average wheat grain yield (bushels/acre) |
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|
4 |
1 |
3 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
17 |
|
6 |
11 |
13 |
17 |
21 |
27 |
35 |
|
8 |
19 |
22 |
26 |
32 |
40 |
50 |
|
10 |
24 |
28 |
33 |
41 |
51 |
63 |
|
12 |
27 |
31 |
38 |
47 |
59 |
73 |
|
14 |
28 |
32 |
40 |
51 |
65 |
81 |
In the above table, keep in mind that 2 inches of available soil water is equivalent to having moisture to a depth of one foot in a silt loam soil, since a silt loam soil holds about 2 inches of available soil water per foot. Likewise, 4 inches of available soil water means a silt loam soil is moist to a depth of 2 feet. In a sandy loam soil, 2 inches of available soil water would be moisture to a depth of roughly 1.33 feet.
The chart shows the influence of available soil water and in-season precipitation at producing long-term yield results. Having water in the fall is critical for germination, emergence, stand establishment, and vigor. Precipitation during winter is closely related with yield potential, providing for winter survival and increased soil water at the beginning of spring regrowth. Water in spring is normally most effective at increasing wheat yields if received at about boot through head extension, providing for decreased water stress at flowering and grain development.








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