Record-high world wheat production projected
Moldova, located at the southwestern border of Ukraine, has been enjoying excellent precipitation, and according to the latest harvest reports, is set to produce 1.0 million tons of wheat, up 0.2 million.
Russian projected wheat production is unchanged this month at 54.0 million. The winter wheat harvest is close to completion in the South and North Caucasus Districts, and in about two-thirds of the Central District — the major winter wheat growing regions — with reported strong yields, about 30 percent higher than last year.
Also, spring wheat growing conditions have been outstanding in most of Siberia, with ample timely rains and moderate temperatures. The exception is the area in the southern Urals that has been suffering from excessive dryness since mid-July, though even this region also recently started to receive much needed precipitation.
Persistent rains in parts of the Central and Volga Districts have disrupted harvesting and could affect quality and, in some cases, even the volume of wheat production Canadian 2013/14 wheat production is projected up 0.5 million tons to 29.5 million this month, reflecting the positive impact of beneficial weather — abundant rains and favorably cool temperatures — for wheat development across the Prairies States of Saskatchewan, Manitoba, and Alberta, where wheat is in its filling stage.
These States produce 97 percent of Canadian spring wheat. As wheat development in Canada is delayed this year, the risks of early frosts that could impact wheat yields could be considered above average. Because of the moisture that is expected to boost wheat yields, wheat quality could be lower than average.
India’s wheat production for 2013/14 was increased 0.5 million tons this month to 92.5 million, based on revised government estimates. Most of the crop was harvested months ago, and the government estimate should be close to the final number. In Turkey, where the wheat harvest has been completed earlier than usual and was helped by warm harvest weather, wheat production is increased 0.4 million tons to 18.0 million.
Moderate temperatures, a sufficient amount of rain in the rain-fed areas, and good irrigation supplies reportedly resulted in excellent wheat yields, though grain quality is reportedly quite low. Increases in 2013/14 wheat output are partly offset by a reduction in prospects for Argentina. Government interventions in wheat exports have been detrimental to wheat producers’ planting incentives.