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Market Commentary

Afternoon Comments 05/17


Continuing tightness of old crop supplies apparently sent nearby soybean futures sharply higher Friday despite the negative export demand implications of the rallying U.S. dollar. The greenback advance may also increase the chance of soybean imports during the days and weeks ahead. Deferred futures also rose despite the prospect of rainy Corn Belt weather over the weekend (and, ultimately, the potential for late-season switching to soybean plantings). July soybeans jumped 21.0 cents to $14.485/bushel at its Friday close, while July soyoil was steady at 49.52 cents/pound, and July soybean meal leapt $10.2 to $425.1/ton.
Market Info

USDA slashes soybean production by 14%

USDA  |   September 12, 2012
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According to the USDA's latest Crop Production report, soybean production is forecast at 2.63 billion bushels, down 2 percent from August and down 14 percent from last year. Based on September 1 conditions, yields are expected to average 35.3 bushels per acre, down 0.8 bushel from last month and down 6.2 bushels from last year.

Compared with last month, yield forecasts are lower or unchanged across the Great Plains and most of the Corn Belt as lingering drought conditions continued to hamper yield expectations. Area for harvest in the United States is forecast at 74.6 million acres, unchanged from August but up 1 percent from last year.

The soybean/oilseed World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report can be read here.


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