Major shift in global fertilizer demand forecast

decrease font size  Resize text   increase font size       Printer-friendly version of this article Printer-friendly version of this article

Global fertilizer demand is forecast to increase substantially over the next two decades. However, a major shift will occur in the distribution of fertilizer demand across the different regions.

This is according to Integer's new study - Global Fertilizer Demand: The Long-term Outlook, which reveals how global crop production and fertilizer consumption are set to change to 2030.

China and India are currently the biggest fertilizer consuming countries in the world and have been the main drivers of fertilizer demand over the past decade. Between 1990 and 2010, fertilizer demand for N, P and K grew by a total of 26.3 million tonnes in China and 16.0 million tonnes in India.

"Both countries are currently over applying nitrogen and phosphates", says Oliver Hatfield, Integer Research Director of Fertilizers, "This is not sustainable in the long term."

Moving towards more efficient N and P application will result in lower fertilizer application and thus slower growth in fertilizer demand in both countries. Integer forecasts total N, P and K demand in China and India to grow by 6.4 and 6.3 million tonnes respectively between 2010 and 2030.

The slowdown in both countries is however balanced by significant fertilizer demand growth in other regions. Brazil for instance will see the biggest single country increase in demand between 2010 and 2030.

Total nitrogen, phosphates and potash increase over the last 20 years was approximately 4.4 million tonnes. However, over the next 20 years demand growth in Brazil is likely to be more than four times as high.

Other less developed agricultures such as Malaysia and Indonesia will also see acceleration in fertilizer demand growth. Under application of fertilizer, combined with the need for higher yields, as well as increase in area will lead to bigger demand for all three nutrients.

Established agricultures such as Europe and the USA will also see a considerable increase in fertilizer demand up to 2030 after demand had been stagnating and even declining over the past two decades. This leads to an altogether more balanced fertilizer demand growth between the different geographical regions.

Buyers Guide

Doyle Equipment Manufacturing Co.
Doyle Equipment Manufacturing prides themselves as being “The King of the Rotary’s” with their Direct Drive Rotary Blend Systems. With numerous setup possibilities and sizes, ranging from a  more...
A.J. Sackett Sons & Company
Sackett Blend Towers feature the H.I.M, High Intensity Mixer, the next generation of blending and coating technology which supports Precision Fertilizer Blending®. Its unique design allows  more...
R&R Manufacturing Inc.
The R&R Minuteman Blend System is the original proven performer. Fast, precise blending with a compact foot print. Significantly lower horsepower requirement. Low inload height with large  more...
Junge Control Inc.
Junge Control Inc. creates state-of-the-art product blending and measuring solutions that allow you to totally maximize operating efficiency with amazing accuracy and repeatability, superior  more...
Yargus Manufacturing
The flagship blending system for the Layco product line is the fully automated Layco DW System™. The advanced technology of the Layco DW (Declining Weight) system results in a blending  more...
Yargus Manufacturing
The LAYCOTE™ Automated Coating System provides a new level of coating accuracy for a stand-alone coating system or for coating (impregnating) in an automated blending system. The unique  more...
John Deere
The DN345 Drawn Dry Spreader can carry more than 12 tons of fertilizer and 17.5 tons of lime. Designed to operate at field speeds up to 20 MPH with full loads and the G4 spreader uniformly  more...
Force Unlimited
The Pro-Force is a multi-purpose spreader with a wider apron and steeper sides. Our Pro-Force has the most aggressive 30” spinner on the market, and is capable of spreading higher rates of  more...
BBI Spreaders
MagnaSpread 2 & MagnaSpread 3 — With BBI’s patented multi-bin technology, these spreaders operate multiple hoppers guided by independent, variable-rate technology. These models are built on  more...

Comments (0) Leave a comment 

e-Mail (required)


characters left


Made of high quality 304 stainless steel, the Quickveyor is one of the strongest trailers on the market. It’s belt ... Read More

View all Products in this segment

View All Buyers Guides

Feedback Form
Feedback Form