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Market Commentary

Afternoon Comments 05/17


The equity and U.S. dollar markets proved quite strong again Friday, but commodity traders seemed to pay more attention to the negative demand aspects of the greenback rally than to the economic strength implied by stock gains. As for corn, persistent old crop tightness continued supporting nearby futures, while optimism about plantings this week weighed upon deferreds. July corn surged 11.25 cents to $6.5275/bushel in Friday trading, while December dipped 4.5 cents to $5.195.
Market Info

Exports: Corn posts small rebound, soybean idles

Angela Bowman, Staff Writer  |   January 31, 2013
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According to the USDA’s latest U.S. Export Sales report, corn net sales of 186,800 metric tons (MT) for the 2012-2013 marketing year were up 35 percent from last week and 26 percent from the 4-week average. 

Increases reported for Japan (130,700 MT, including 63,900 MT switched from unknown destinations), China (107,500 MT, including 120,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 12,600 MT), Mexico (48,200 MT), El Salvador (10,000 MT, including 7,200 MT switched from Guatemala and decreases of 600 MT), and Colombia (8,700 MT), were partially offset by decreases for unknown destinations (135,100 MT). 

Net sales of 66,500 MT for the 2013-2014 marketing year were reported for Japan.  Exports of 609,200 MT were up 65 percent from the previous week and up noticeably from the prior 4-week average.  The primary destinations were Japan (209,400 MT), China (167,500 MT), Mexico (97,600 MT), Venezuela (30,000 MT), and Cuba (27,500 MT).

Optional Origin Sales:   For MY 2012/2013, outstanding optional origin sales total 117,900 MT, all South Korea.  For MY 2013/2014, outstanding optional origin sales total 30,000 MT, all Mexico.

On Wednesday South American drought concerns again drove the grain and soybean complexes higher. On Thursday these drought concerns remained, and traders had second thoughts overnight as a South Korean buyer bought European-origin corn instead of U.S. March corn edged 3/4 cent lower, to $7.39 1/2 in pre-dawn activity, whereas December fell 2 1/2 cents to $5.90 1/2 per bushel.

 

REPORT THIS WEEK LAST WEEK DIFFERENCE
  Sales 186,849 138,462 48,387
 
SALES 10 WEEKS 27 WEEKS THIS YEAR
Average 154,575 231,350 182,819
High 393,341 1,881,967 393,341
Low 12,622 368 12,622
 
 
Chart

 The report also showed that soybean net sales of 386,000 MT for the 2012-2013 marketing year were up 1 percent from the previous week, but down 42 percent from the prior 4-week average.

 Increases reported for China (292,100 MT, including 163,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 14,600 MT), the Netherlands (76,200 MT, including 70,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), Indonesia (70,800 MT), Vietnam (62,000 MT, including 65,000 MT switched from unknown destinations and decreases of 6,000 MT), Turkey (44,000 MT, including 40,000 MT switched from unknown destinations), and Egypt (40,000 MT), were partially offset by decreases for unknown destinations (277,000 MT). 

Net sales of 867,000 MT for delivery in the 2013-2014 marketing year were for China (694,000 MT) and unknown destinations (173,000 MT).  Exports of 1,134,700 MT were down 11 percent from the previous week and 3 percent from the prior 4-week average.  The primary destinations were China (703,000 MT), Mexico (82,500 MT), the Netherlands (76,200 MT), Vietnam (67,900 MT), and Turkey (44,000 MT).  

Optional Origin Sales:   For MY 2013/2014, outstanding optional origin sales total 246,000 MT, all China. 

Some wire service reports on Wednesday cited fresh news of soybean sales to China for a portion of the day jump by soybean futures, but the fact that those deliveries were deferred to the 2013-14 crop year robbed the news of its market-moving power. On Thursday March beans dropped 9 cents to $14.69 3/4 per bushel in early morning activity, while March soyoil slipped 0.05 cents to 52.55 cents/pound and March meal slumped $3.6 to $429.1/ton.

REPORT THIS WEEK LAST WEEK DIFFERENCE
  Sales 386,011 383,278 2,733
 
SALES 10 WEEKS 27 WEEKS THIS YEAR
Average 662,246 622,204 674,967
High 1,608,774 2,645,023 1,608,774
Low 86,976 5,146 321,803
 
 
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