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Current land value spike not like the 80s

Colleen Scherer, Managing Editor, Ag Professional  |   December 27, 2011
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Farmland values have been increasing rapidly, giving rise to concern that the industry is due to repeat the credit crisis that happened in the 1980s. However, Mike Duffy, Iowa State University economist doesn’t foresee a collapse of prices like what occurred in the 80s, according to an article from Iowa Farmer Today

The article says Duffy believes today’s farmland value increase is different than the run up in prices that occurred in the late 1970s before the market crashed in the 1980s. He does not rule out that changes could still occur in the market, but the difference he sees is that more land is being purchased today with cash than in the 1970s.

“Even though farmland prices are going up across the country, the increase is not uniform,” Duffy told Iowa Farmer Today.

Read more of the article here.


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Brent Kerns    
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Brownsburg, IN 46112  |  December, 27, 2011 at 07:58 PM

I was a lender during the 70's and 80's and retired as a loan officer for FSA 1/1/07 and now a full time appriaser.
Today's market is cash and investor's, not leverage 101. A lot of equity going into the sales.

michael    
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kansas  |  December, 28, 2011 at 09:46 AM

Question is, what will happen when the investors equity position is compromised by the inevitable drop in returns when (not if) commodity prices drop to below cost of production? The hilarious promises of current & continued returns of 17% or more on ag land investments you see from "experts" in financial publications are bound to lead to some serious buyers' remorse and dumping... don't you think? What then?

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