The new era of crop prices: A five-year review
Despite some differences between projections and actuals, the new era projections for the price of corn, soybeans, and wheat that we made almost five years ago have held up remarkably well. While the approach is certainly simple, it appears to provide robust expectations for crop prices in this new era. Tomorrow, we will use the actual Illinois monthly average prices of corn, soybeans, and wheat for December 2006 through December 2012 to evaluate whether the original projections of average prices and price distributions in the new era need any modifications. We will also use the new era projections to evaluate the current level of prices in these markets and draw implications for marketing 2012 and 2013 crops.
Source: Scott Irwin and Darrel Good, Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois