Bet on quiet Atlantic hurricane season this year
In its 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, forecasters with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) report a near- or below-normal hurricane season.
In particular, there is a 50 percent chance of a below-normal season and a 40 percent chance of a near-normal season. The hurricane season begins on June 1 and could bring between 8 and 13 named storms, with up to 6 of them becoming hurricanes.
El Niño is considered a main driver of this year’s forecast and is expected to develop later this summer.
This outlook doesn’t not guarantee that tropical systems will or will not impact the United States, nor does it imply those along the Gulf and Atlantic shorelines should not be prepared.
“It only takes one hurricane or tropical storm making landfall to have disastrous impacts on our communities," said Joe Nimmich, FEMA associate administrator for Response and Recovery. “Just last month, Pensacola, Florida saw five inches of rain in 45 minutes – without a tropical storm or hurricane. We need you to be ready.”
Time will tell if these forecasts are correct. USA Today shows that since 2000, federal tropical storm and hurricane forecasts have been hit or miss. These predictions have been accurate in seven of the last 14 years.
NOAA's prediction was too low in five years and too high in two years: 2006 and 2013.
- Scout for aphids in winter wheat
- El Niño development stalled out, but wet winter still predicted
- Ag markets posted divergent closes Wednesday
- Farm bill program to help farmers affected by severe weather
- Israel panel proposes 25-42% tax hike on mining companies
- Ag markets moved almost unanimously higher Wednesday morning
- How much corn can the ethanol industry use?
- Economist: Taxing P could reduce risk of algal blooms
- Commentary: Government wants farmers to quit farming
- Source shows half of GMO research is independent
- Ag markets made a generally mixed showing Thursday night
- What is the relationship between maturity group, yield?