$4 corn by harvest? Maybe

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Last year, as the drought raged across the nation’s fertile heartland, experts warned about the possibility of corn reaching $10 per bushel. A year later, one bank is forecasting a very different scenario to unfold by the 2013 harvest – a return to $4 corn.

AgriMoney reports that the bank Macquarie’s forecast reflects an “increasingly negative outlook” after the USDA shocked investors with its June 28 “Acreage” report. In the report, corn acreage was estimated at 97.4 million acres, 2.1 million more than originally anticipated by analysts.

"As it now looks more likely that we will have a large U.S. corn crop, the bearish outlook becomes more certain," said Macquarie analyst Chris Gadd.

The bank is forecasting Chicago corn prices to average $4.50 per bushel in the October to December quarter, and Gadd warned that values could fall.

"We are likely to test significantly below this ($4.50-a-bushel) level in the October-to-November period," he said.

Read more here.

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Tom McCullough    
missouri  |  July, 11, 2013 at 12:00 PM

corn acreage was estimated at 97.4 million acres, 21 million more than originally anticipated by analysts. This statement should probably be 2.1 million more acres planted.

Minnesota  |  July, 23, 2013 at 03:47 PM

I think even 2.1 is high. Most of the acres that were replanted may not produce much of anything and that's if they don't drown out again. When harvest is over these exaggerations will be exposed.

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